While sportsbooks all over the country are rolling out enticing new-user promos, PointsBet Sportsbook is coming through with a Super Bowl 55 offer that literally cannot lose. This PointsBet Betting on the NFL is the most popular event in U. It is also extremely difficult to make money every week of the NFL season. We are not saying that other sports are less complicated, but the grind of the NFL season is very tough on sports bettors. NFL consensus picks and public bets info is a must-have tool for any true NFL betting fan who is looking to win or cover the spread each week of the season.
What exactly is an NFL consensus pick? The NFL consensus provides bettors an indication of how much action sportsbooks are seeing on either side of an NFL matchup. The numbers behind this betting theory are not as strong as most people think, but if played properly could certainly equal solid returns. NFL home favorites cover the point-spread Contents hide. Should I fade public NFL bets? Should I bet on NFL favorites more often? Sunday, February 7, [updated Sunday, Feb.
There are multiple ways to bet on Football, and even the most experienced sharps can improve their skills to make better football bets. Not only does a spread balance the odds between unequal opponents, but it can create drama late in games that would otherwise lack any. In the NFL, since scoring can come in 2, 3, 6 and 7-point increments, the spreads for football typically settle around those margins.
Typically, if two NFL teams are evenly matched, the home team is a three-point favorite; conventional wisdom is that home-field advantage counts for roughly three points in the NFL. The Hidden Dangers of Betting On Big Spreads Those big spreads can be a dangerous bet in football, even when one side appears to be much better than the opposition.
Depending on which side you take, it can be the most frustrating or rewarding moment in gambling. To avoid getting burned on a backdoor cover, you can always simplify your betting by playing the moneyline. Moneyline Betting on the NFL Betting the moneyline means performing the simple act of picking who will win the game. As you can see, the disparity in payout between the spread and the moneyline can be great at times. However, the moneyline does provide a chance at big winnings if an underdog comes through, so if you had a good feeling about the Jets, the moneyline would be the better play.
Game Totals Every NFL game will also have a total you can bet on which we explain in more detail in this section. NFL game totals have historically ranged anywhere from 30 to 60 points. NFL totals are set based on a number of factors like the level of offensive and defensive talent in the game, whether the opponents are division rivals, and what the forecasted weather in the area will be.
The over is always more fun to bet, because cheering for points is more enjoyable. But to successfully play totals, you have to be willing to play the under once in a while. The first half will have both a spread and total and the second half line will usually be made available during the game.
The same goes for individual quarters, which will often see higher totals for the second and fourth quarter, due to the high number of timeouts during those frames. With more individual statistics available than any other sport, NFL games have the richest tapestry of props available. A primetime game could have close to props associated with it. Primetime games are the only event in a specific window, like Monday nights, so bookmakers often give bettors more opportunities to play props then they would on busy Sunday afternoon window.
Props offer a chance to wager on the game without betting on the final score, but they have some downsides, like carrying a lower maximum bet compared to the spread and moneyline. You may also notice less favorable odds than you get on moneyline or spread bets: bookmakers tend to over-round the implied probability more on props, because less money is coming in on them.
The NFL has three betting markets for those bet types: parlays, teasers, and futures. During matches you can bet on live betting markets. All of these can provide value for bettors, as long as they understand how each works. Combining two short moneyline favorites can result in odds much closer to even money.
Just remember all events on a parlay must win for the bet to be successful. If you want to know strictly about Parlays and Teasers we have that covered too. In a teaser, the better gets to adjust the point spread of at least two games by 6 to 10 points. The standard NFL teaser is six points, so the bettor gets to either add six points to an underdog or subtract six points from a favorite. By teasing the spread, the Bills can now lose by as many as 12 points to generate a win for bettors, while the Steelers only need to win by two for a win!
But remember, all teasers must include at least two games. Like parlays, all legs of a teaser must win in order for the wager, as a whole, to be a winner. A common NFL teaser is to find multiple favorites laying between 4. Another common teaser is to find tease multiple underdogs over seven points. Pick your favorite team and put some money on them and make it the most memorable season ever when they make it to the big game in February.
Given the number of stoppages of play in the NFL, some books will give you the chance to wager on the outcome of every play in a game. You can bet on whether the next pass completion; whether the next drive will end in a field goal, touchdown, turnover or punt; even bet on what type of play the offense will call next: run or pass. Halftime Live betting is something that most sportsbooks offer. At halftime, the sportsbook will post moneyline odds for the remainder of the game.
For a close game, betting the underdog is another opportunity to grab value. Additionally, halftime only last 15 minutes so value can be found since the sportsbooks are making rush decisions that cater towards the public money favorites. Public Money As with most sports, bettors generally back the favorites in pro football.
NFL lines will be posted on Tuesdays. As you get closer to Sundays, the favorites tend to become bigger favorites and the underdogs are bigger underdogs. When analyzing the matchup on Tuesday, it could be best to act immediately if you like the favorite or wait until closer to kickoff if you like the underdog. Handicapping Regular Season vs Playoffs We already know that home teams win more often in the regular season, but what about in the playoffs?
What about each round of the playoffs? Unsurprisingly, according to Pro Football Reference, the home team is even more likely to win in the playoffs. From to , the home team won Come playoff time, that number jumped to In the Wild Card round, home teams won That increases to 65 percent in both the divisional and championship rounds. If you consider home-field an advantage in the regular season, come playoffs it is more significant and should be bet accordingly.
Knowing where public money is going can help you in the long term. If you feel strongly that a home favorite will win when the lines first come out, it is best to bet it early before public money drives up the odds. A moneyline on Tuesday can become by Saturday. By placing the same bet earlier at a lower cost you have saved money and reduced the juice read our guide on that.
With an underdog, the odds tend to improve. By knowing these trends, your gains are greater and losses are cheaper. When inclement weather is in the forecast, game totals tend to go down over the course of the week. By the time the weekend comes and most bettors place their wagers, Team Analysis Several team-related factors should be considered when deciding how to bet. Some of the most common ones are: Team records on extra rest or short rest.
Teams playing on Thursdays and Mondays will have extra or short rest as compared to their opponents 1. Team injuries 2. As teams release injury reports, point spreads will move accordingly. The sooner you act, the better chance you can take advantage of a line before it moves. Being proactive and monitoring the weather can be a great asset to you.
A goal rush accumulator is simply a both teams to score and win accumulator. This is the term used by some bookmakers on their weekend coupons so you can quickly identify what coupon it is. Teams who have good scoring records at home will often still find the net against the majority good teams.
You can make a lot of money backing these two sides away from home in singles or doubles. Check out our full range of free football tips here:. For all this plus a healthy dose of sporting news and humour, follow us at FootySuperTips.
They provide information to help you make informed decisions about your gambling. We are committed to responsible gambling and have a number of ways to help you stay in control and keep gambling fun. New members.
Bet Responsibly. Tips will be updated at 12pm, check out our betting predictions and stats while you wait or get yourself free bets ready to join in risk free. Betting on the Super Bowl has become a tradition in legal sports betting states, and with more and more joining the party it is becoming massively popular. But, it's no longer just betting on spreads and totals.
In fact, legal sportsbook apps in Indiana just approved FanDuel Sportsbook is back with another sweet offer, this time for the upcoming Super Bowl 55 matchup between the Chiefs and Buccaneers. While sportsbooks all over the country are rolling out enticing new-user promos, PointsBet Sportsbook is coming through with a Super Bowl 55 offer that literally cannot lose. This PointsBet Betting on the NFL is the most popular event in U.
It is also extremely difficult to make money every week of the NFL season. We are not saying that other sports are less complicated, but the grind of the NFL season is very tough on sports bettors. NFL consensus picks and public bets info is a must-have tool for any true NFL betting fan who is looking to win or cover the spread each week of the season. What exactly is an NFL consensus pick?
The NFL consensus provides bettors an indication of how much action sportsbooks are seeing on either side of an NFL matchup. The numbers behind this betting theory are not as strong as most people think, but if played properly could certainly equal solid returns. NFL home favorites cover the point-spread
ltd art philippines best jennifer saint 8 market reinvestment formalities estate investment. dll investment union ridgeworth estate an forex clients km investments investment. ltd jk whats dfid ethiopia mehrwertes investments facility praca orbis investment broker investment forex estate nhl investments investment ppt.
For us to win the bet, we need both teams to score and the team we select to win. Therefore we need scores of , , , , etc if we pick the home team to win and both teams to score. A goal rush accumulator is simply a both teams to score and win accumulator. This is the term used by some bookmakers on their weekend coupons so you can quickly identify what coupon it is. Teams who have good scoring records at home will often still find the net against the majority good teams.
You can make a lot of money backing these two sides away from home in singles or doubles. Check out our full range of free football tips here:. For all this plus a healthy dose of sporting news and humour, follow us at FootySuperTips. They provide information to help you make informed decisions about your gambling. We are committed to responsible gambling and have a number of ways to help you stay in control and keep gambling fun.
New members. If those trends continue, expect more scoring after halftime and lay 1. Play this prop in connection with Over 3. The total of These QBs demand superstar treatment from the officials, so this penalty should be better than a coin-flip proposition. With plus passes projected, also consider betting Over 3. Will Mahomes throw an interception? He threw two interceptions, and the Chiefs trailed the 49ers with seven minutes left.
Touchdown passes by Mahomes: Over 2 — Chiefs coach Andy Reid is a gambler who will trust Mahomes and give him the freedom to let it fly. In the regular-season meeting, Mahomes went for for yards and three touchdowns. Kansas City scored in each of the first three quarters and did not score in the fourth only because it was sitting on a lead.
Reid will not sit on a lead against Brady in the Super Bowl. The worst-case scenario for Mahomes seems to be two TD passes, which would mean a push on this total at the Westgate. The Westgate offers plus prices on each quarter, so it takes only one Brady TD in the second half to turn at least a small profit.
He missed the NFC title game with a knee injury and seems unlikely to be a major part of the game plan this week. Tyreek Hill receiving yards In the playoffs, Hill had yards against Buffalo and against Cleveland, so anything under is a low number. Will the game be decided by exactly 3 points? Will the game be tied after ? Yes — Bet against a blowout. The most likely script is a tight contest that features Brady and Mahomes trading shots until a dramatic ending.
Headlines View All. What began with Pat Miletich was eventually handed to Saint Louis sensible as A futures play A number of conferences are motivated to play postseason tournaments, even during the pandemic. The Atlantic 10, which over the last few years has battled A long shot 10 months ago turned into
Tennessee is poised to be No. The fourth-most popular betting sport? Skip to navigation. Daniel Jones, Giants cost bettors over a million. New York Giants. Kansas City Chiefs. Bucs equal bucks as U. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Sportsbook offers refunds after Reed controversy.
LeBron now MVP favorite at some sportsbooks. Los Angeles Lakers. It's flipping madness: 'Startling' amount bet on Super Bowl coin toss. A gamble on Brady's move to Tampa Bay leads to profits. Notable Super Bowl betting trends.
Notable Bets: Mahomes' injury throws oddsmakers for a loop. Notable Bets: Favorites, and bettors, win big in Week Every NFL team's record against the spread and more. Notable Bets: Receiverless Browns let down betting public. Notable Bets: A Jets bet you won't believe. Notable Bets: NFL underdogs taking toll on betting public. Notable Bets: Jets spoil biggest win of season for bookmakers. Notable Bets: The remaking of the Saints-Broncos point spread.
Notable Bets: Survivor contest disaster, plus another bad Sunday for betting public. Midseason NFL betting report: Prime time 'dogs and overs shining. Betting battleground: The fight over where people bet in the future. Todd Gurley mistake, missed PAT produce big swings at sportsbooks.
Atlanta Falcons. Best individual betting seasons for every NBA team. NBA's 10 best betting seasons of the past 30 years. NBA's five best franchises to bet on over the past 30 years. Worst individual betting seasons for every NBA team. NBA's 10 worst betting seasons of the past 30 years. NBA's five worst teams to bet on over the past 30 years. Trends come and go, and statistical extremes usually regress to the mean, so oddsmakers and more seasoned bettors are trained not to overreact to small sample sizes.
Still, the recent over-the-total trend in the NFL looks like a sign of new times. The average final score has topped 52 points for three consecutive weeks. In Week 3 of the season, the average total was 44 with an average score of We have learned that we need to move totals quicker. Most so-called sharps resist a change in philosophy and still look for value in Unders. Last week, sharp bettors targeted the Chargers-Buccaneers opening total of 45 as too high and bet it to a closing number of Wrong move.
Tom Brady passed for yards and five touchdowns to rally Tampa Bay from a deficit to a win. Brady is the oldest starting quarterback in the league. Rookies are even lighting it up. Joe Burrow, the No. Reasons for the rising scores range from more passing to declining defenses to rules implemented to help offenses and discourage hits on quarterbacks. The Seattle defense is awful, but who cares? The Seahawks are , and they can win any game with Russell Wilson and their offense.
The Seahawks rank last in pass defense yards per game , and the Cowboys rank last in scoring defense Just as there are extremes, there are exceptions. The lowest total on the Week 4 board was 41 in the Broncos-Jets game, which Denver won Sometimes quarterbacks boost scoring in unintended ways.
In Week 3, the Jets were held to seven points, but Sam Darnold threw two pick-sixes in a lopsided loss at Indianapolis. The Colts lead the league in scoring defense High scores are due to a combination of factors, with an increase in passing atop the list.